debate

Discord ID: 463068752725016579


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2018-07-26 17:55:17 UTC

I can't just scan a video.

2018-07-26 17:55:30 UTC

Don't

2018-07-26 17:55:46 UTC

Watch it.

2018-07-26 17:56:30 UTC

If this is yet another "robot cars are replacing truckers" and "Deepmind is going to create strong AI and replace humanity video"...

2018-07-26 17:56:58 UTC

Not replace humanity.

2018-07-26 17:57:08 UTC

But replace many if not most jobs.

2018-07-26 17:57:37 UTC

If it's just "AI will replace jobs" argument, we've seen that since the Luddites.

2018-07-26 17:57:51 UTC

It shifts the optimal point of the economy and people do other stuff.

2018-07-26 17:57:54 UTC

Yes, this time is not the same.

2018-07-26 17:58:03 UTC

Why is this not the same?

2018-07-26 17:58:16 UTC

Watch the video?

2018-07-26 17:58:23 UTC

It addresses that point.

2018-07-26 17:58:33 UTC

I got a hunch I've heard it before.

2018-07-26 17:58:51 UTC

And I don't have time to sit through a 15 minute CCP Grey video.

2018-07-26 17:59:00 UTC

GCP

2018-07-26 17:59:09 UTC

whatever.

2018-07-26 17:59:23 UTC

If the argument is that this time their coming for the white collar jobs.

2018-07-26 17:59:39 UTC

The Luddites were upset that automation was coming for farming and skilled manufacturing.

2018-07-26 18:00:07 UTC

Okay fine, name a job that can't be automated.

2018-07-26 18:00:09 UTC

They were sorta right. Not as many people farm any more and we don't line up 100s of people in a workshop to make firearms one-by-one anymore.

2018-07-26 18:00:17 UTC

What's the job that we're moving people into.

2018-07-26 18:00:18 UTC

But farming and skilled manufacturing is still around.

2018-07-26 18:00:32 UTC

Arts for one.

2018-07-26 18:00:44 UTC

I'm getting slowmo'd.

2018-07-26 18:00:58 UTC

Hollywood is making more money than before.

2018-07-26 18:01:17 UTC

Art is an attention based economy, you can't just retrain people to be an artists.

2018-07-26 18:01:26 UTC

What?

2018-07-26 18:01:34 UTC

No, you just do what you want.

2018-07-26 18:01:48 UTC

Sure, attention is limited, but that's everything in this world.

2018-07-26 18:02:03 UTC

How are they going to make money?

2018-07-26 18:02:20 UTC

Making stuff people care about.

2018-07-26 18:02:48 UTC

For who, other artists?

2018-07-26 18:02:56 UTC

Whomever cares to watch it.

2018-07-26 18:03:05 UTC

You're not replacing all engineers and surveyors.

2018-07-26 18:03:15 UTC

There's too many factors to just toss an AI at it.

2018-07-26 18:03:29 UTC

Surveyors probably, engineers maybe.

2018-07-26 18:03:36 UTC

Depends on the engineering.

2018-07-26 18:03:58 UTC

AI is good at eliminating the boring stuff that doesn't really require too much complexity. Like watching watching security tapes.

2018-07-26 18:04:16 UTC

No, surveying is a task which requires a good deal of logistics and care in setting up your instruments.

2018-07-26 18:04:37 UTC

Yeah, writing news stories, and making music, and improving algorithms.

2018-07-26 18:04:54 UTC

And there's fundamental limits which make eliminating engineering basically impossible.

2018-07-26 18:05:05 UTC

AI sucks at facial recognition

2018-07-26 18:05:06 UTC

Facebook, Google, Youttube already trust mot of the engineering work to automation.

2018-07-26 18:05:14 UTC

You can automate the calculations and some idea generation, but there's hard limits on how far you can take that.

2018-07-26 18:05:29 UTC

define "most of the engineering work" Last I heard they were still hiring coders.

2018-07-26 18:05:43 UTC

they have to, with millions of minutes of youtube content being uploaded every day, thats undoable for a normal person

2018-07-26 18:05:46 UTC

Okay, like .01% worlds jobs are safe, GG guys

2018-07-26 18:06:06 UTC

No, this whole "AI is going to put everyone out of work" is badly overhyped.

2018-07-26 18:06:22 UTC

And reflects a lack of creativity and understanding of fundamental limits.

2018-07-26 18:06:33 UTC

They are putting people out of jobs, not ARE putting people out of jobs.

2018-07-26 18:06:45 UTC

nah people get the limits, they just dont know we're not close to achieving the desired outcome ๐Ÿ˜‰

2018-07-26 18:06:47 UTC

Like, AI is already in a position where it will likely be dominated by a few major players just because they have all the data

2018-07-26 18:07:26 UTC

And with stuff like GDPR...

2018-07-26 18:07:28 UTC

Can your brain functions be replicated by a computer?

2018-07-26 18:07:36 UTC

That's a hard question to answer.

2018-07-26 18:07:47 UTC

And I'm not sure it actually matters at the end of the day.

2018-07-26 18:07:54 UTC

It does.

2018-07-26 18:08:08 UTC

Since you don't need a full brain to do that many tasks.

2018-07-26 18:08:30 UTC

That's the question, is there something magical about being human that makes us irreplaceable by a robot brain.

2018-07-26 18:08:41 UTC

we dont know how, but its possible

2018-07-26 18:09:01 UTC

Now we're just debating metaphysics.

2018-07-26 18:09:06 UTC

nah

2018-07-26 18:09:10 UTC

No we're not.

2018-07-26 18:09:40 UTC

its possible, but compare it to like:

"Can we live on any planet?"

Sure, just gotta learn to terraform

2018-07-26 18:09:56 UTC

And terraforming takes hundreds of years.

2018-07-26 18:10:00 UTC

exactly

2018-07-26 18:10:09 UTC

is it possible? yes
Can we do it now? Fuck no

2018-07-26 18:10:21 UTC

One thing I would point out with this AI stuff.

2018-07-26 18:10:29 UTC

You saying that AI will NEVER replace X job is the same thing as people who said they'll never flay, they'll never break the sound barrier, they'll never split the atom, and so on.

2018-07-26 18:10:41 UTC

It doesn't entirely matter. If AI starts becoming sufficiently powerful, we'll integrate it into ourselves.

2018-07-26 18:10:49 UTC

And then it's a completely different distinction.

2018-07-26 18:11:03 UTC

Now that's just fallacious.

2018-07-26 18:11:14 UTC

There's been lots of stuff people have said would happen that never did.

2018-07-26 18:11:23 UTC

Like what?

2018-07-26 18:11:31 UTC

Look at old sci-fi. People wonder over all the stuff they got right but forget all the stuff they got wrong.

2018-07-26 18:11:35 UTC

we'd have a moonbase by 1980

2018-07-26 18:11:46 UTC

We could.

2018-07-26 18:12:06 UTC

We just did have a economic motive to do it

2018-07-26 18:12:18 UTC

Didn't have one that is.

2018-07-26 18:12:26 UTC

Humans are not horses, is the main issue with the argument against market solving the problem

2018-07-26 18:12:44 UTC

It's a gross oversimplification of the issue

2018-07-26 18:13:01 UTC

I'd argue there's an even deeper issue. Everyone gets this strong AI/human distinction. But it doesn't exist.

2018-07-26 18:13:04 UTC

Who said anything about it not be an optimal state?

2018-07-26 18:13:16 UTC

Why would you not want automation to take over.

2018-07-26 18:13:28 UTC

If I send a person into a field and s/he uses his/her cellphone in the process do I account that to the person or the cell phone?

2018-07-26 18:13:29 UTC

to fuck over people ๐Ÿ˜‰

2018-07-26 18:14:03 UTC

That's not the same thing and you know it @pratel

2018-07-26 18:14:03 UTC

Also the cashier example is funny, considering people are stealing groceries in ways they couldn't before

2018-07-26 18:14:13 UTC

Yes it is and you know it @Dennafen

2018-07-26 18:14:24 UTC

If AI is sufficiently powerful, it integrates with humans.

2018-07-26 18:14:37 UTC

That's not true at all.

2018-07-26 18:14:37 UTC

Like cell phones integrated with most people rendering some tasks moot.

2018-07-26 18:15:01 UTC

Like, you don't need to be a skilled navigator anymore.

2018-07-26 18:15:10 UTC

How has facebook integrated with humans other than to distract and enrage us?

2018-07-26 18:15:16 UTC

I'd bet most people don't even know what "orienteering" is.

2018-07-26 18:15:19 UTC

shows us peoples lives

2018-07-26 18:15:22 UTC

Exactly.

2018-07-26 18:15:37 UTC

Facebook has "replaced" certain things but enabled others.

2018-07-26 18:15:37 UTC

No it doesn't it shows peoples fantasies.

2018-07-26 18:16:01 UTC

And reality doesnt?

You partake in your friends relationship issues?

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