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Discord ID: 463054787336732683


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2018-11-05 21:03:57 UTC

They modeified the F-15 after the initial design.

2018-11-05 21:03:58 UTC

No the f-16/18 are multi-role.

2018-11-05 21:04:20 UTC

the F-15 is air superiority.

2018-11-05 21:04:23 UTC

No, the F-16 and F-15 were both developed as the next generation Air superiority fighter, as was the F-17 for that matter.

2018-11-05 21:04:31 UTC

Wouldn't destroying tactical satellites be an act of war?

2018-11-05 21:04:36 UTC

F-18 was the only one originally intended as F/A.

2018-11-05 21:04:37 UTC

So using anti-satellite missiles is rather stupid. It would be smarter to use Laser to blind the satellites.

2018-11-05 21:04:54 UTC

You don't destroy them, you don't create Kessler Syndrome either.

2018-11-05 21:05:02 UTC

You just blind them.

2018-11-05 21:05:04 UTC

Like shooting down a plane

2018-11-05 21:05:10 UTC

Who cares. You're in a major shooting war.

2018-11-05 21:05:11 UTC

oh, another option is this: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_X-37>

2018-11-05 21:05:24 UTC

`The combat-proven F-16 is the worldโ€™s most capable 4th generation multi-role fighter, serving as the workhorse of the fighter fleet for 28 customers around the world. The F-16V, the latest F-16 configuration, includes numerous enhancements designed to keep the F-16 at the forefront of international security.`

2018-11-05 21:05:26 UTC

Oh I forgot about that, our rapid deployment platforms.

2018-11-05 21:05:48 UTC

launch one of those on a Falcon 9 and have it just put limpet mines on enemy satellites, to be command detonated at will.

2018-11-05 21:06:01 UTC

Actually it doesn't work that way.

2018-11-05 21:06:01 UTC

We get it you identify as a ๐Ÿ›ฌ

2018-11-05 21:06:14 UTC

It skims off the surface of our atmosphere.

2018-11-05 21:06:24 UTC

It never stops.

2018-11-05 21:06:32 UTC

@Dennafen My point is that the F-15 is like the F-16 it was air superiority in the initial build but became multirole later.

2018-11-05 21:06:34 UTC

It is hypersonic too.

2018-11-05 21:06:53 UTC

No.

2018-11-05 21:07:02 UTC

It mostly to spy on Countries and deploy bombing capabilities.

2018-11-05 21:07:16 UTC
2018-11-05 21:07:19 UTC

i made a hard predicition

2018-11-05 21:07:22 UTC

republican sweep

2018-11-05 21:07:22 UTC

The F-15 was designed from the ground up as an air superiority fighting.

2018-11-05 21:07:24 UTC

majority maintainec

2018-11-05 21:07:26 UTC

Wow.

2018-11-05 21:07:29 UTC

Brave.

2018-11-05 21:07:32 UTC

nah

2018-11-05 21:07:34 UTC

@Timcast Wow. That's a hard prediction.

2018-11-05 21:07:36 UTC

Timcast..... we all been predicting that.

2018-11-05 21:07:36 UTC

people dont watch me for my predictions

2018-11-05 21:07:37 UTC

Military planes can be scary, a couple flew over my head in the desert randomly once

2018-11-05 21:07:49 UTC

I'm going to actually go the other way. I predict a D sweep.

2018-11-05 21:07:51 UTC

Democrats are so out of touch and the polls are really off.

2018-11-05 21:07:51 UTC

nate silvers job is to make predictions

2018-11-05 21:08:04 UTC

but i think my logic is sound

2018-11-05 21:08:04 UTC

I dont participate in polls

2018-11-05 21:08:11 UTC

Pew recognizes that pollsters cant reach trumps base

2018-11-05 21:08:14 UTC

Too hard to predict

2018-11-05 21:08:14 UTC

Granted most of the polling companies are owned by democrats.

2018-11-05 21:08:15 UTC

I disagree so far. I am still watching vid though

2018-11-05 21:08:15 UTC

and they totally missed it

2018-11-05 21:08:19 UTC

NOTHING changed since 2016

2018-11-05 21:08:20 UTC

I lurk on /pol/ though

2018-11-05 21:08:26 UTC

which means R's might have a +3 lead or more

2018-11-05 21:08:36 UTC

*Claps.* Bingo.

2018-11-05 21:08:41 UTC

Working class people and poor people are hard to poll accurately

2018-11-05 21:08:47 UTC

and Nate silver has been backpeddling HARD

2018-11-05 21:08:49 UTC

It is more of guessing at this point

2018-11-05 21:08:51 UTC

That's a bold prediction. We should save this.

2018-11-05 21:08:58 UTC

Silver keeps posting shit about how he might be wrong

2018-11-05 21:09:00 UTC

hjes shaking

2018-11-05 21:09:02 UTC

If you're right, I'll buy you a drink.

2018-11-05 21:09:02 UTC

not only that!

2018-11-05 21:09:08 UTC

Timcast. Remember they will be voting in the afternoon.

2018-11-05 21:09:09 UTC

BOTH parties give even odds for R's taking House

2018-11-05 21:09:18 UTC

MOST in both parties think R's gain in senate

2018-11-05 21:09:30 UTC

They will vote late. You won't see the actual voting till right at the last minute.

2018-11-05 21:09:39 UTC

I do think something major happened though. The suburban women appear to have flipped hard.

2018-11-05 21:09:40 UTC

It will be a repeat of 2016.

2018-11-05 21:09:40 UTC

Tim's totally right on this. People are still terrified to admit that they support Trump because it gets people fired from all kinds of jobs. So no one wants to speak up if they support Trump in a situation where there's even a slight doubt.

Whereas Democrats are freely allowed to say they are one, even in republican dominated circles.

2018-11-05 21:09:41 UTC

lastly

2018-11-05 21:09:46 UTC

they keep saying this is a referendum on trump

2018-11-05 21:09:47 UTC

if it is

2018-11-05 21:09:50 UTC

They will declare their victory and then see it snatched from them.

2018-11-05 21:09:51 UTC

Okay so Tim

2018-11-05 21:09:55 UTC

Trumps favorability is HIGHER now than when he got elected

2018-11-05 21:09:56 UTC

if the Dems win here's what you post

2018-11-05 21:10:01 UTC

a video of you looking at a computer

2018-11-05 21:10:03 UTC

the results

2018-11-05 21:10:06 UTC

then you saying "Well, fuck."

2018-11-05 21:10:07 UTC

if the dems win I post "I was wrong"

2018-11-05 21:10:07 UTC

You are getting the idea now.

2018-11-05 21:10:08 UTC

end video

2018-11-05 21:10:12 UTC

I can see the argument. We shall see.

2018-11-05 21:10:14 UTC

but im not a pollster

2018-11-05 21:10:15 UTC

We still don't know much about election fraud either and that can play either way

2018-11-05 21:10:19 UTC

Wait pollsters cant reach trumps base?

2018-11-05 21:10:22 UTC

How is that possible?

2018-11-05 21:10:27 UTC

im basing my opinion off these points and I could absolutely be wrong

2018-11-05 21:10:30 UTC

no one knows

2018-11-05 21:10:31 UTC

we'll see

2018-11-05 21:10:33 UTC

Remember that margin of error.... do they count the fact the working class is the largest voting block?

2018-11-05 21:10:36 UTC

seems sound to me tbh man

2018-11-05 21:10:43 UTC

They can easily close the gap easily.

2018-11-05 21:10:45 UTC

If the R wins both house and senate i buy you a beer. @Timcast
If that is the case, you got a paypal?

2018-11-05 21:10:45 UTC

they haven't changed shit

2018-11-05 21:10:54 UTC

I tend to trust pollsters for the most part. They get reviewed based on getting these things right.

2018-11-05 21:10:54 UTC

he *does* have patreon

2018-11-05 21:11:01 UTC
2018-11-05 21:11:02 UTC

He got Patreon 4AM

2018-11-05 21:11:03 UTC

I really have no idea. Things are very open right now.

2018-11-05 21:11:04 UTC

If the voting bases are energized.

2018-11-05 21:11:10 UTC

You bet the working class is too.

2018-11-05 21:11:12 UTC

Im gonna need you guys to vote Rep

2018-11-05 21:11:22 UTC

I already voted republican.

2018-11-05 21:11:23 UTC

Gotcha, bookmarked

2018-11-05 21:11:25 UTC

If reps win both house and senate, i get laid

2018-11-05 21:11:30 UTC

Cant vote straight republican

2018-11-05 21:11:31 UTC

so err... help a brother out

2018-11-05 21:11:33 UTC

An different republican compared to Marry Fallins.

2018-11-05 21:11:35 UTC

Already voted, 2 hour line today

2018-11-05 21:11:37 UTC

Aka Marry Failing.

2018-11-05 21:11:43 UTC

my work is not about being right its about trying to understand things

2018-11-05 21:11:51 UTC

I often offer up my opinions after reading relevant knews

2018-11-05 21:11:59 UTC

You had all the data, I was just hoping you make the connection.

2018-11-05 21:12:01 UTC

I thought your work was to give us information and your expert Timpinion?

2018-11-05 21:12:02 UTC

if my prediction is wrong so be it

2018-11-05 21:12:11 UTC

I think there's possibilities for Republicans in MI, NJ and even CA. Dems definitely have possibilities in GA, TX and AZ.

2018-11-05 21:12:15 UTC

the migrant caravans are coming at a perfect time, relatively speaking.

Trump's wall was a huge matter that he kept pushing, and now that there are... THREE of them, on their way, last I heard, with one reaching over 12,000 people...

Yeah, that's getting Trump's base fired up.

2018-11-05 21:12:22 UTC

nat silver said a 2-3 point error means R;s win

2018-11-05 21:12:26 UTC

It's really hard to say what will happen.

2018-11-05 21:12:26 UTC

It's like trying to predict the weather, too many factors

2018-11-05 21:12:28 UTC

thats fucking amrgin of error

2018-11-05 21:12:34 UTC

didn't Nat silver also say theres a 40% chance he's wrong?

2018-11-05 21:12:35 UTC

With all the talk of Republicans going to loose, it is going to bring his voter base and the working class to vote.

2018-11-05 21:12:38 UTC

yup

2018-11-05 21:12:40 UTC

IIRC Nate also said it could just as easily go the other way though.

2018-11-05 21:12:42 UTC

hes in coin toss terrirtory

2018-11-05 21:12:59 UTC

They are forgetting that.

2018-11-05 21:13:06 UTC

Again.

2018-11-05 21:13:28 UTC

Nate Silver tends to hedge his statements. He was the only one to put a reasonable chance of Trump in 2016. I actually was talking with some statisticians and we were trying to figure out why Nate's polls seemed so out of line with everyone else.

2018-11-05 21:13:33 UTC

Plus they never let up on the identarian talk against whites. Whites make up majority of the working class.

2018-11-05 21:13:34 UTC

If one more big event happens today that manages to hit the news before the election tomorrow, it would properly seal it.

but even as it stands, I think republicans are likely to win this one.

2018-11-05 21:13:34 UTC

I think he just likes being careful.

2018-11-05 21:13:45 UTC

also Tim, timcast gaming video when? ๐Ÿ˜›

2018-11-05 21:13:54 UTC

Center seems pretty motivated to vote R on federals this year, I went Libertarian 2016

2018-11-05 21:13:54 UTC

im planning a longform video on harry potter

2018-11-05 21:14:05 UTC

statistics were nice while it lasted ๐Ÿ™„

2018-11-05 21:14:05 UTC

like how fucked up the wizarding world is

2018-11-05 21:14:10 UTC

Man.... what is her name, the one that made Harry Potter.

2018-11-05 21:14:12 UTC

lol.

2018-11-05 21:14:15 UTC

gotta be honest, i did not see that answer coming

2018-11-05 21:14:16 UTC

JK rowling

2018-11-05 21:14:19 UTC

Have you heard about the harry potter religion?

2018-11-05 21:14:22 UTC

That's wild.

2018-11-05 21:14:24 UTC

what?

2018-11-05 21:14:24 UTC

She basically disappointed me in her talks.

2018-11-05 21:14:28 UTC

pratel back up

2018-11-05 21:14:33 UTC

I believe your interpretation of the data. But my interpretation say house is either +2 GOP over middle or dems +6 over middle.

2018-11-05 21:14:34 UTC

How ignorant she seem to be on the actual topics.

2018-11-05 21:14:36 UTC

a religion based around harry potter?

2018-11-05 21:14:41 UTC

Too close too call

2018-11-05 21:14:49 UTC

Yes, literally @Blackhawk342

2018-11-05 21:15:01 UTC

People want to believe in magic.

2018-11-05 21:15:07 UTC

magic IS real bro

2018-11-05 21:15:09 UTC

MEME MAGIC!!!

2018-11-05 21:15:33 UTC

PENIS THIEF @Dr.Wol

2018-11-05 21:15:39 UTC

Got to love how they keep playing democrat ads on every youtube video and completely push aside Republican ads.

2018-11-05 21:15:43 UTC

yes

2018-11-05 21:15:43 UTC

hm i see networks are pulling Trumps campaign ad's now

2018-11-05 21:15:44 UTC

SAD!

2018-11-05 21:15:47 UTC

give me your weewee powah

2018-11-05 21:15:55 UTC

or nbc at least is

2018-11-05 21:16:03 UTC

Yes, the millenials are putting Harry Potter up there with the Bible, the Quran, the Torah and the Dialectics.

2018-11-05 21:16:10 UTC

By the way, Timcast already posted a video.

2018-11-05 21:16:14 UTC

๐Ÿ˜ฎ

2018-11-05 21:16:15 UTC

Im voting for my tribe not for the mobs

2018-11-05 21:16:19 UTC

Go watch!

2018-11-05 21:16:20 UTC

I'm gonna touch Tim and steal his penis, and ransom it back to him only if he plays Diablo Immortal for us all to enjoy.

2018-11-05 21:16:21 UTC

I want the Dems to lose the House just for the salt it would generate

2018-11-05 21:16:29 UTC

Im watching it almost dun

2018-11-05 21:16:30 UTC

im actually betting im wrong

2018-11-05 21:16:32 UTC

facebook pulled trumps campaign adsads too

2018-11-05 21:16:33 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/509113820510158848/TimMilionaire1.png

2018-11-05 21:16:34 UTC

In my state ads aren't showing who is Republican or Democrat

2018-11-05 21:16:38 UTC

I bet you will be right Timcast.

2018-11-05 21:16:41 UTC

but only becuase the data and experts tell me to think that

2018-11-05 21:16:46 UTC

my gut says im right

2018-11-05 21:16:50 UTC

even Fox news is pulling trumps campaign ads

2018-11-05 21:16:57 UTC

my gut says your gut is right

2018-11-05 21:16:58 UTC

Pulling trumps ads isnt that election meddling ?

2018-11-05 21:17:05 UTC

They are ignorant of why Trump has an massive supporters.

2018-11-05 21:17:06 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/509113959043825675/Timwololo.png

2018-11-05 21:17:12 UTC

Our prophet has spoken

2018-11-05 21:17:14 UTC

Wololo

2018-11-05 21:17:15 UTC

Wololo

2018-11-05 21:17:15 UTC

WOLOLOOOO

2018-11-05 21:17:17 UTC

republicans still have a small lead over dems in early voting

2018-11-05 21:17:18 UTC

The key thing... they don't understand WHY.

2018-11-05 21:17:20 UTC

gap should have closed

2018-11-05 21:17:24 UTC

especially with the youth vote

2018-11-05 21:17:37 UTC

Youth Votes earily.

2018-11-05 21:17:45 UTC

Yay, our Tim is doing his part and voting. Are you?

2018-11-05 21:17:48 UTC

Gives a false lead.

2018-11-05 21:17:50 UTC

Youth historically don't turnout very well on election day

2018-11-05 21:17:50 UTC

Yay, our Tim is doing his part and voting. Are you?

2018-11-05 21:17:54 UTC

While the Republicans mostly vote late.

2018-11-05 21:18:08 UTC

Did you guys see that article in lib media regarding mid-term loss? "What if the unthinkable happens" ๐Ÿ˜‚

2018-11-05 21:18:12 UTC

I garuntee you that im voting tomorrow

2018-11-05 21:18:13 UTC

drama queens

2018-11-05 21:18:15 UTC

I think the Republican early vote was small part of the full Republican voters.

2018-11-05 21:18:19 UTC

Im 80% sure im voting and for who

2018-11-05 21:18:21 UTC

Not USian, so i can't vote, but im here in spirit

2018-11-05 21:18:31 UTC

Likely wont make much of a difference because im in chicago but hey

2018-11-05 21:18:33 UTC

gotta try

2018-11-05 21:18:42 UTC

Tim is voting Vermin Supreme

2018-11-05 21:18:47 UTC

vermin is great

2018-11-05 21:18:49 UTC

I am more worried about after the vote Timcast. How the left will react if they loose house and Republicans keep senate.

2018-11-05 21:18:52 UTC

@Timcast R's traditionally lead D's in early voting. They also lead in the earlier counts (rural counties can count votes faster).

Kinda confused what you mean though. How do you bet on one thing and think another? Are you putting money in a prediction market or something and just following the herd while you think the herd is wrong?

2018-11-05 21:19:04 UTC

remember when democrats tried to vote no on the 13th in 1864 ... the next year the GOP had the senate and the house and pushed it through

2018-11-05 21:19:05 UTC

"Whats yorue economic stimulus plan?"
"A pony for every american!"

2018-11-05 21:19:13 UTC

my gut, my knowledge tells me Rs will win

2018-11-05 21:19:14 UTC

They been violence since Trumps win, imagine them after midterms if Republicans win.

2018-11-05 21:19:15 UTC

If the left loses, it will be another day in Trumps America

2018-11-05 21:19:21 UTC

when they get disconnected from people... they lose

2018-11-05 21:19:23 UTC

but there is a part of me saying theres no way

2018-11-05 21:19:30 UTC

not American but follow closely as I worry this SJW intolerance will show up in my country.
I will tune in for the voting because there is nothing better than SJW tears.

2018-11-05 21:19:34 UTC

i felt the same way in 2016

2018-11-05 21:19:36 UTC

13th amendment was a non-partisan issue

2018-11-05 21:19:38 UTC

so I decided to roll with it

2018-11-05 21:19:38 UTC

I think a lot of people feel that way since 2016

2018-11-05 21:19:41 UTC

teh house or senate?

2018-11-05 21:19:44 UTC

Interesting.

2018-11-05 21:19:46 UTC

Well all we can do is give our opinion and just see.

2018-11-05 21:19:50 UTC

Reason and the past says Reps will lose the house,

But 2016 has given us all reason to belive Reps will just win it all

2018-11-05 21:19:54 UTC

I think 2016 was more decided in peoples minds

2018-11-05 21:20:03 UTC

I can see Reps losing the house

2018-11-05 21:20:04 UTC

I'm in a glorious district for voting. I've got Debbie Wasserman Schultz as the incumbent.

2018-11-05 21:20:10 UTC

The outcome threw a little bit of doubt into everyone's minds

2018-11-05 21:20:11 UTC

Voter Turnout is insane

2018-11-05 21:20:18 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/509114764740263940/TimNPC.png

2018-11-05 21:20:19 UTC

everyone is angry

2018-11-05 21:20:23 UTC

resist vs kavanaugh

2018-11-05 21:20:25 UTC

22k turnout 4 years ago in my county

2018-11-05 21:20:28 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/509114803936296960/TrumpMagic.jpg

2018-11-05 21:20:28 UTC

FWIW, 2016 was fairly low turnout which generally favors Republicans. 2018 is looking historically high.

2018-11-05 21:20:40 UTC

Just today at early voting something like 500 in one polling place

2018-11-05 21:20:47 UTC

Usually that favors D's.

2018-11-05 21:20:49 UTC

check out Bill Mitchell and Larry Schweikart on twitter, they lay out the latest numbers and show big wins for the repubs

2018-11-05 21:20:51 UTC

You need got feelings, some races have stale 2 weeks old polls. It makes number crunching difficult.

2018-11-05 21:20:56 UTC

All polls always favor Democrats.

2018-11-05 21:20:56 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/509114923016519701/unknown.png

2018-11-05 21:20:57 UTC

If it ends

2018-11-05 21:21:04 UTC

#resistorangeman

2018-11-05 21:21:06 UTC

Fallout!

2018-11-05 21:21:06 UTC

Pratel then why are there a bunch of articles about how the dems are scared of losing the elections?

2018-11-05 21:21:13 UTC

*That said* I believe the bases are shifting, and if so, the old "low/high turnout" rule might be reversing.

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