general-politics

Discord ID: 418667927169138688


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2019-02-17 01:01:11 UTC

cause virginia is gonna be blue mostly

2019-02-17 01:01:17 UTC

but PA is a swing state

2019-02-17 01:01:29 UTC

send me a 2020 scenario

2019-02-17 01:01:44 UTC

trump vs

2019-02-17 01:02:25 UTC

Oh yeah, one of the reasons Dems have been winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college is, at least based on my research, that states that are trending left are generally solid one way or another (like Texas or New Mexico) while the states that are trending right are or used to be swing states (like Pennsylvania and Iowa)

2019-02-17 01:02:41 UTC

ya i agree with u 100%

2019-02-17 01:02:57 UTC

Itโ€™s just one of the peculiarities of the electoral college

2019-02-17 01:03:06 UTC

ok visitor

2019-02-17 01:03:09 UTC

trump vs who

2019-02-17 01:03:14 UTC

i'll do one rn

2019-02-17 01:03:17 UTC

Ok so

2019-02-17 01:04:07 UTC

The program I wrote only predicts state results vs the national popular vote, so I have to give it a projected popular vote for it to describe the state-by-state results

2019-02-17 01:04:18 UTC

nice

2019-02-17 01:04:28 UTC

In that case, itโ€™s more like [Trump vs generic democrat]

2019-02-17 01:04:33 UTC

ya

2019-02-17 01:04:35 UTC

give me a dem

2019-02-17 01:04:47 UTC

Joe Biden

2019-02-17 01:04:50 UTC

oh god

2019-02-17 01:04:51 UTC

brb

2019-02-17 01:04:52 UTC

Why not

2019-02-17 01:04:56 UTC

uhh

2019-02-17 01:05:11 UTC

all votes to trump biden is a child molester

2019-02-17 01:05:19 UTC

ok i'll do one now i'll be like 5 mins

2019-02-17 01:07:23 UTC

Hereโ€™s my average preduction map

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546497862712819723/IMG_5616.JPG

2019-02-17 01:07:54 UTC

this is how i see it

2019-02-17 01:07:56 UTC

It sort of surprised me

2019-02-17 01:08:00 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546498015645401118/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:08:21 UTC

make VA more blue

2019-02-17 01:08:26 UTC

for my prediction

2019-02-17 01:08:30 UTC

and that's how i think

2019-02-17 01:08:56 UTC

Ok

2019-02-17 01:09:04 UTC

Seems reasonable

2019-02-17 01:09:12 UTC

trump is gonna be hard against him

2019-02-17 01:09:16 UTC

Apparently NC is going left pretty fast too

2019-02-17 01:09:18 UTC

i'll do a best case scenario for biden now

2019-02-17 01:10:29 UTC

ah

2019-02-17 01:10:35 UTC

Thereโ€™s a whole range of โ€œbest caseโ€

2019-02-17 01:11:19 UTC

The *best* best case would be something like trump escorted from the White House in chains, which is clearly very unlikely but not impossible

2019-02-17 01:11:32 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546498904896569354/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:11:50 UTC

Hmm

2019-02-17 01:12:02 UTC

Can you give me an estimate for best-case Biden popular vote?

2019-02-17 01:12:08 UTC

hmm

2019-02-17 01:12:14 UTC

gonna be a population increase 2020

2019-02-17 01:12:19 UTC

i'd say

2019-02-17 01:12:23 UTC

In percent

2019-02-17 01:12:35 UTC

hm idk about percent

2019-02-17 01:12:40 UTC

i'd say around 60m trump

2019-02-17 01:12:43 UTC

70m biden

2019-02-17 01:12:48 UTC

If Hillary was 48% to 46% and Obama 2008 was 52% to 45%

2019-02-17 01:13:35 UTC

bidens best case scenario is a 2008 obama victory

2019-02-17 01:14:35 UTC

but with more people

2019-02-17 01:14:39 UTC

same percent though

2019-02-17 01:17:24 UTC

landslides are always easier for dems

2019-02-17 01:17:30 UTC

this is a 2020 republican best win

2019-02-17 01:17:33 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546500420810440720/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:17:38 UTC

and democrat

2019-02-17 01:17:41 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546500453492457482/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:20:13 UTC
2019-02-17 01:20:18 UTC

software is yapms.com very epic

2019-02-17 01:22:57 UTC

I used 270towin.com for mine

2019-02-17 01:23:11 UTC

you'll like yapms a lot more

2019-02-17 01:23:14 UTC

i used to use that

2019-02-17 01:26:13 UTC

what about this @Leo (BillNyeLand)

2019-02-17 01:26:17 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546502617543606274/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:26:31 UTC

ex member of KKK

2019-02-17 01:27:29 UTC

he would lose a lot of votes in chicago

2019-02-17 01:31:45 UTC

yeah you know Nixon Won by 96% but still a scandal brought him down

2019-02-17 01:32:30 UTC

I didnโ€™t notice until I had already closed the tab

2019-02-17 01:32:33 UTC

Ok so Michigan is supposed to be Democrat for this 52-45 Dem popular vote win (similar to Obama 2008), so the electoral total is slightly wrong

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546504196208197653/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:32:47 UTC

311-217

2019-02-17 01:33:26 UTC

That's a good Biden win prediction

2019-02-17 01:33:29 UTC

But yeah, the program predicts Maineโ€™s 2nd congressional district would go red before *Georgia* does

2019-02-17 01:33:33 UTC

Can you judge my Biden scandal prediction lol

2019-02-17 01:34:08 UTC

Let's say it happened before the first debate

2019-02-17 01:34:33 UTC

Theyโ€™d almost want him to drop out and replace him with a different Dem ๐Ÿ˜‚

2019-02-17 01:34:40 UTC

hmm

2019-02-17 01:34:41 UTC

Well if they didn't

2019-02-17 01:34:42 UTC

Maybe youโ€™d even get some Green states!

2019-02-17 01:34:47 UTC

True

2019-02-17 01:34:56 UTC

Give me a 2020 prediction but with a scandal attached

2019-02-17 01:34:56 UTC

Or Libertarian states

2019-02-17 01:35:37 UTC

lol just saying thou nixson already did this he turned every states accpet minnsota RED

2019-02-17 01:35:45 UTC

Wasn't that Reagan

2019-02-17 01:35:47 UTC

How about I do LBJ 1964, 63 to 36%

2019-02-17 01:35:52 UTC

in 1972

2019-02-17 01:35:54 UTC

ya

2019-02-17 01:36:02 UTC

give me a 2020 prediction though but with a trump scandal

2019-02-17 01:36:04 UTC

(Reagan and Nixon got more states but LBJ got more popular vote)

2019-02-17 01:36:08 UTC

Ok

2019-02-17 01:36:18 UTC

who gives a shit about popular vote

2019-02-17 01:36:18 UTC

I guess it would be around there? For the Dem

2019-02-17 01:36:22 UTC

My program

2019-02-17 01:36:29 UTC

nixon didn't win dc

2019-02-17 01:36:33 UTC

nah but u gotta give me a detailed scandal

2019-02-17 01:36:33 UTC

no republican has ever won dc

2019-02-17 01:36:35 UTC

It uses it to calculate state results

2019-02-17 01:37:01 UTC

@hcaez give me a trump scandal

2019-02-17 01:37:08 UTC

one that works?

2019-02-17 01:37:13 UTC

impossible probably lol

2019-02-17 01:37:16 UTC

i'm doing an election prediction but based on trump gets exposed on something

2019-02-17 01:37:25 UTC

Donald Trump turned out to be a Russian agent, but also managed to end the Israel-Palestine conflict somehow at the same time.

2019-02-17 01:37:27 UTC

i can't see anything sinking trump down

2019-02-17 01:37:35 UTC

lol hypothetically

2019-02-17 01:37:43 UTC

yes but if the popular voted really counted all you would need it florida texas californa new york to win every election thank god we have EC

2019-02-17 01:37:46 UTC

like he said "i could kill a guy in the middle of the street and my votes would go up"

2019-02-17 01:38:04 UTC

alright visitor ill do

2019-02-17 01:38:08 UTC

a russian agent

2019-02-17 01:38:20 UTC

and he tried to expose all of usas info to russia in his presidency

2019-02-17 01:38:55 UTC

O dang

2019-02-17 01:39:35 UTC

alright there you go

2019-02-17 01:39:40 UTC

Oh wait

2019-02-17 01:39:42 UTC

I got it

2019-02-17 01:39:43 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546505997326352396/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:39:49 UTC

nobody gonna vote for a russian agent

2019-02-17 01:39:59 UTC

He actually *did* kill a guy in the middle of the street two decades ago

2019-02-17 01:40:04 UTC

really?

2019-02-17 01:40:06 UTC

How about that

2019-02-17 01:40:09 UTC

hm AND

2019-02-17 01:40:13 UTC

(For a hypothetical scandal)

2019-02-17 01:40:13 UTC

there was some prooof

2019-02-17 01:40:15 UTC

Honestly I really believe him

2019-02-17 01:40:20 UTC

but nobody could determine if it was real or fake

2019-02-17 01:40:21 UTC

I don't think he would lose any voters

2019-02-17 01:40:27 UTC

Yeah

2019-02-17 01:40:29 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546506192118349835/image0.jpg

2019-02-17 01:40:38 UTC

alright i'll do that

2019-02-17 01:41:01 UTC

what language are you using visitor?

2019-02-17 01:41:03 UTC

Shut up white make

2019-02-17 01:41:05 UTC

Male

2019-02-17 01:41:16 UTC

chad, pay my repartions now

2019-02-17 01:41:16 UTC

Just a medium scandal, not enough to deter his solid base but enough to kill his re-election chances

2019-02-17 01:41:20 UTC

Java

2019-02-17 01:41:21 UTC

Ok sorry

2019-02-17 01:41:33 UTC

Nothing can deter trumpโ€™s solid base

2019-02-17 01:41:36 UTC

(I know, Java is silly, but itโ€™s the only language I know)

2019-02-17 01:41:36 UTC

how do you post pictures? i dont see the plus sign like other discords

2019-02-17 01:41:46 UTC

it's fine, great starting language

2019-02-17 01:42:15 UTC

Trump could fucking rape a girl on camera and all his cock suckers will say itโ€™s fake and start talking about low black unemployment and then all his solid supporters would stick by him

2019-02-17 01:42:19 UTC

LOL

2019-02-17 01:42:24 UTC

probably honestly

2019-02-17 01:42:36 UTC

didn't he basically already do that?

2019-02-17 01:42:47 UTC

Luz who gave u the right to speak? Look at your skin.

2019-02-17 01:42:53 UTC

D=

2019-02-17 01:43:08 UTC

i have a distinct feeling you guys hate trump

2019-02-17 01:43:12 UTC

Iโ€™m calling chiv Iโ€™m telling him youโ€™ve been noti

2019-02-17 01:43:23 UTC

what gives you that impression

2019-02-17 01:43:25 UTC

why the fuck you even on this server

2019-02-17 01:43:25 UTC

Orange man bad

2019-02-17 01:43:29 UTC

the fact that my role is "Trump Supporter"

2019-02-17 01:43:37 UTC

lol

2019-02-17 01:43:49 UTC

there you go visitor

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546507030341484544/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:44:02 UTC

oh i see now

2019-02-17 01:44:06 UTC

you're a nazi cis white sucm

2019-02-17 01:44:08 UTC

DaRealMoney doesnโ€™t like being around people with different perspectives/opinions if youโ€™re not hear to confirm his one beliefs then gtfo libtards

2019-02-17 01:44:11 UTC

is this where normies come to vent?

2019-02-17 01:44:20 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546507157311455233/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:44:42 UTC

pretty similar

2019-02-17 01:44:47 UTC

mine a little more republican

2019-02-17 01:44:51 UTC

as some rednecks aren't gonna give a fuck

2019-02-17 01:44:51 UTC

Kansas dang

2019-02-17 01:44:54 UTC

Normies = normal productive citizens who contribute to society and donโ€™t spend their entire lives at home self-hating and being pissed off about liberals

2019-02-17 01:45:02 UTC

Ye

2019-02-17 01:45:06 UTC

Visitor stfu white male

2019-02-17 01:45:10 UTC

LOL

2019-02-17 01:45:12 UTC

uhh huh

2019-02-17 01:45:30 UTC

Even ur profile pic is white @hcaez lock him up

2019-02-17 01:45:39 UTC

This is just like, imagine Nancy Pelosi is assassinated and Donald says he wants to nuke North Korea

2019-02-17 01:45:42 UTC

we'll have him working for the minorities

2019-02-17 01:45:45 UTC

Which was basically the backdrop in 1964

2019-02-17 01:45:46 UTC

Good

2019-02-17 01:45:47 UTC

lmao

2019-02-17 01:45:52 UTC

alright let's do another

2019-02-17 01:45:57 UTC

How about

2019-02-17 01:46:06 UTC

Hillary Clinton again!!

2019-02-17 01:46:12 UTC

any twist?

2019-02-17 01:46:19 UTC

How about if Clinton killed a black person on tv

2019-02-17 01:46:22 UTC

LMAO

2019-02-17 01:46:26 UTC

LOL ok then

2019-02-17 01:46:26 UTC

"super predator"

2019-02-17 01:46:26 UTC

Some of her supporters would be ok with it

2019-02-17 01:46:28 UTC

She infected the DNC leadership with zombie disease.

2019-02-17 01:46:29 UTC

Cause sheโ€™s still a woman

2019-02-17 01:46:32 UTC

i'll do that right now mike

2019-02-17 01:46:36 UTC

And breaking the class ceiling !!

2019-02-17 01:46:47 UTC

โ€œDonโ€™t discriminate against the walking dead!โ€

2019-02-17 01:46:54 UTC

god emporer trump protects

2019-02-17 01:46:59 UTC

โ€œZOMBIES ARE PEOPLE TOOโ€

2019-02-17 01:47:10 UTC

Silicon Valley > walking dead

2019-02-17 01:47:24 UTC

didn't they spend an entire season of walking dead at a farm

2019-02-17 01:47:32 UTC

Iโ€™ll do 63-36 for Donald this time, which is the exact popular vote reverse of the previous one

2019-02-17 01:47:33 UTC

I stopped watching the walking dead after glen got killed

2019-02-17 01:47:35 UTC

Yes Luz

2019-02-17 01:47:38 UTC

But lots happens

2019-02-17 01:47:44 UTC

That was during the time the show was really good

2019-02-17 01:47:56 UTC

karls dead feels babd

2019-02-17 01:48:00 UTC

The show was great until around season 5 then it started getting bad and I stopped watching at season 6

2019-02-17 01:48:02 UTC

this seems appropriate

2019-02-17 01:48:05 UTC

idk i never watched any of it

2019-02-17 01:48:05 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546508105496789004/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:48:10 UTC

What

2019-02-17 01:48:11 UTC

Lol

2019-02-17 01:48:17 UTC

California red?

2019-02-17 01:48:19 UTC

What poll is this

2019-02-17 01:48:21 UTC

she killed a black person on tv

2019-02-17 01:48:25 UTC

of course cali is gonna vote red

2019-02-17 01:48:26 UTC

one correction jack

2019-02-17 01:48:30 UTC

DC would still be 90% blue

2019-02-17 01:48:35 UTC

Luz

2019-02-17 01:48:41 UTC

Whats that poll for

2019-02-17 01:48:44 UTC

Whereโ€™d u get it lol

2019-02-17 01:48:45 UTC

cali isn't the most red state

2019-02-17 01:48:49 UTC

whose

2019-02-17 01:48:52 UTC

so it would vote red if hillary killed someone

2019-02-17 01:48:52 UTC

i didn't post a poll

2019-02-17 01:48:55 UTC

Is that Stalinโ€™s grave ca trump?

2019-02-17 01:48:56 UTC

so how to post images

2019-02-17 01:49:01 UTC

Oh wait nvm lord trump did

2019-02-17 01:49:03 UTC

post it in <#433755181805469706>

2019-02-17 01:49:06 UTC
2019-02-17 01:49:09 UTC

Where did u get that poll jack

2019-02-17 01:49:10 UTC

@DaRealMcoy idk m80 you may not have the adequate roles

2019-02-17 01:49:13 UTC

The all red one

2019-02-17 01:49:17 UTC

that's not a poll mike

2019-02-17 01:49:20 UTC

ok let me go grab a role

2019-02-17 01:49:24 UTC

that's if hillary killed a black guy on tv

2019-02-17 01:49:29 UTC

Oh

2019-02-17 01:49:37 UTC

is this accurate then

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546508487904198687/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:49:42 UTC

Lol they have a poll for that specific instance?

2019-02-17 01:49:47 UTC

no i created that

2019-02-17 01:49:51 UTC

Oh

2019-02-17 01:50:00 UTC

i think it's accurate

2019-02-17 01:50:27 UTC

tbh georgia should be full red that's a mistake

2019-02-17 01:50:32 UTC

Mine is Dem Vermont, Maryland, Hawaii, DC, CA and thatโ€™s it

2019-02-17 01:50:40 UTC

CA is full of hollywood

2019-02-17 01:50:47 UTC

id think it swing very very close to trump

2019-02-17 01:50:50 UTC

Ha thatโ€™s basically yours

2019-02-17 01:50:58 UTC

like less than 100k difference

2019-02-17 01:51:33 UTC

we were close though only ca difference

2019-02-17 01:52:20 UTC

i think in 2016 trump won cause people who were debating were afraid of clinton and wanted an idiot instead

2019-02-17 01:52:34 UTC

from an undecided perspective

2019-02-17 01:54:53 UTC

this will be some weird future shit

2019-02-17 01:54:56 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546509827954835466/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:55:17 UTC

closest election ever

2019-02-17 02:29:17 UTC

What are the places that are the most libertarian?

2019-02-17 02:29:19 UTC

In America

2019-02-17 02:31:41 UTC

Probably northern states

2019-02-17 06:01:21 UTC

Alabama going blue?

2019-02-17 06:01:31 UTC

Washington going red?

2019-02-17 06:01:44 UTC

Alaska blue?

42,736 total messages. Viewing 250 per page.
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