general-politics
Discord ID: 418667927169138688
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cause virginia is gonna be blue mostly
but PA is a swing state
send me a 2020 scenario
trump vs
Oh yeah, one of the reasons Dems have been winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college is, at least based on my research, that states that are trending left are generally solid one way or another (like Texas or New Mexico) while the states that are trending right are or used to be swing states (like Pennsylvania and Iowa)
ya i agree with u 100%
Itโs just one of the peculiarities of the electoral college
ok visitor
trump vs who
i'll do one rn
Ok so
The program I wrote only predicts state results vs the national popular vote, so I have to give it a projected popular vote for it to describe the state-by-state results
nice
In that case, itโs more like [Trump vs generic democrat]
ya
give me a dem
Joe Biden
oh god
brb
Why not
uhh
all votes to trump biden is a child molester
ok i'll do one now i'll be like 5 mins
Hereโs my average preduction map
this is how i see it
It sort of surprised me
make VA more blue
for my prediction
and that's how i think
Ok
Seems reasonable
trump is gonna be hard against him
Apparently NC is going left pretty fast too
i'll do a best case scenario for biden now
ah
Thereโs a whole range of โbest caseโ
The *best* best case would be something like trump escorted from the White House in chains, which is clearly very unlikely but not impossible
Hmm
Can you give me an estimate for best-case Biden popular vote?
hmm
gonna be a population increase 2020
i'd say
In percent
hm idk about percent
i'd say around 60m trump
70m biden
If Hillary was 48% to 46% and Obama 2008 was 52% to 45%
bidens best case scenario is a 2008 obama victory
but with more people
same percent though
landslides are always easier for dems
this is a 2020 republican best win
and democrat
I used 270towin.com for mine
you'll like yapms a lot more
i used to use that
what about this @Leo (BillNyeLand)
ex member of KKK
he would lose a lot of votes in chicago
yeah you know Nixon Won by 96% but still a scandal brought him down
I didnโt notice until I had already closed the tab
Ok so Michigan is supposed to be Democrat for this 52-45 Dem popular vote win (similar to Obama 2008), so the electoral total is slightly wrong
311-217
That's a good Biden win prediction
But yeah, the program predicts Maineโs 2nd congressional district would go red before *Georgia* does
Can you judge my Biden scandal prediction lol
Let's say it happened before the first debate
Theyโd almost want him to drop out and replace him with a different Dem ๐
hmm
Well if they didn't
Maybe youโd even get some Green states!
True
Give me a 2020 prediction but with a scandal attached
Or Libertarian states
lol just saying thou nixson already did this he turned every states accpet minnsota RED
Wasn't that Reagan
How about I do LBJ 1964, 63 to 36%
in 1972
ya
give me a 2020 prediction though but with a trump scandal
(Reagan and Nixon got more states but LBJ got more popular vote)
Ok
who gives a shit about popular vote
I guess it would be around there? For the Dem
My program
nixon didn't win dc
nah but u gotta give me a detailed scandal
no republican has ever won dc
It uses it to calculate state results
one that works?
impossible probably lol
i'm doing an election prediction but based on trump gets exposed on something
Donald Trump turned out to be a Russian agent, but also managed to end the Israel-Palestine conflict somehow at the same time.
i can't see anything sinking trump down
lol hypothetically
yes but if the popular voted really counted all you would need it florida texas californa new york to win every election thank god we have EC
like he said "i could kill a guy in the middle of the street and my votes would go up"
alright visitor ill do
a russian agent
and he tried to expose all of usas info to russia in his presidency
O dang
alright there you go
Oh wait
I got it
nobody gonna vote for a russian agent
He actually *did* kill a guy in the middle of the street two decades ago
really?
How about that
hm AND
(For a hypothetical scandal)
there was some prooof
Honestly I really believe him
but nobody could determine if it was real or fake
I don't think he would lose any voters
Yeah
alright i'll do that
what language are you using visitor?
Shut up white make
Male
chad, pay my repartions now
Just a medium scandal, not enough to deter his solid base but enough to kill his re-election chances
Java
Ok sorry
Nothing can deter trumpโs solid base
(I know, Java is silly, but itโs the only language I know)
how do you post pictures? i dont see the plus sign like other discords
it's fine, great starting language
Trump could fucking rape a girl on camera and all his cock suckers will say itโs fake and start talking about low black unemployment and then all his solid supporters would stick by him
LOL
probably honestly
didn't he basically already do that?
Luz who gave u the right to speak? Look at your skin.
D=
i have a distinct feeling you guys hate trump
Iโm calling chiv Iโm telling him youโve been noti
what gives you that impression
why the fuck you even on this server
Orange man bad
the fact that my role is "Trump Supporter"
lol
there you go visitor
oh i see now
you're a nazi cis white sucm
DaRealMoney doesnโt like being around people with different perspectives/opinions if youโre not hear to confirm his one beliefs then gtfo libtards
is this where normies come to vent?
pretty similar
mine a little more republican
as some rednecks aren't gonna give a fuck
Kansas dang
Normies = normal productive citizens who contribute to society and donโt spend their entire lives at home self-hating and being pissed off about liberals
Ye
Visitor stfu white male
LOL
uhh huh
This is just like, imagine Nancy Pelosi is assassinated and Donald says he wants to nuke North Korea
we'll have him working for the minorities
Which was basically the backdrop in 1964
Good
lmao
alright let's do another
How about
Hillary Clinton again!!
any twist?
How about if Clinton killed a black person on tv
LMAO
LOL ok then
"super predator"
Some of her supporters would be ok with it
She infected the DNC leadership with zombie disease.
Cause sheโs still a woman
i'll do that right now mike
And breaking the class ceiling !!
โDonโt discriminate against the walking dead!โ
god emporer trump protects
โZOMBIES ARE PEOPLE TOOโ
Silicon Valley > walking dead
didn't they spend an entire season of walking dead at a farm
Iโll do 63-36 for Donald this time, which is the exact popular vote reverse of the previous one
I stopped watching the walking dead after glen got killed
Yes Luz
But lots happens
That was during the time the show was really good
karls dead feels babd
The show was great until around season 5 then it started getting bad and I stopped watching at season 6
this seems appropriate
idk i never watched any of it
What
Lol
California red?
What poll is this
she killed a black person on tv
of course cali is gonna vote red
one correction jack
DC would still be 90% blue
Luz
Whats that poll for
Whereโd u get it lol
cali isn't the most red state
whose
so it would vote red if hillary killed someone
i didn't post a poll
Is that Stalinโs grave ca trump?
so how to post images
Oh wait nvm lord trump did
post it in <#433755181805469706>
Where did u get that poll jack
@DaRealMcoy idk m80 you may not have the adequate roles
The all red one
that's not a poll mike
ok let me go grab a role
that's if hillary killed a black guy on tv
Oh
is this accurate then
Lol they have a poll for that specific instance?
no i created that
Oh
i think it's accurate
tbh georgia should be full red that's a mistake
Mine is Dem Vermont, Maryland, Hawaii, DC, CA and thatโs it
CA is full of hollywood
id think it swing very very close to trump
Ha thatโs basically yours
like less than 100k difference
we were close though only ca difference
i think in 2016 trump won cause people who were debating were afraid of clinton and wanted an idiot instead
from an undecided perspective
this will be some weird future shit
closest election ever
What are the places that are the most libertarian?
In America
Probably northern states
Alabama going blue?
Washington going red?
Alaska blue?
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